söndag 23 juni 2019

Are globalization and globalism dead?



Turned-on White Tablet Computer at Globe Share Graph

Source: Pexels  

Arguments and opinions in style that “globalism is dead” are common today and are nothing new. Similar statements were made during 1990’s and 2000’s. One example is “The Collapse of Globalism” by John Ralston Saul published in 2005.[1] In order to show that globalism was dead and collapsing Saul presented aspects as rising inequality, nationalism and economic populism around the world. Other examples of globalism on decline were the Asian financial crisis and demonstrations in Seattle. It is interesting that his book was published during the same period which intellectuals, academics and pundits as for example Dani Rodrik have presented as a period of “hyperglobalization” and “hyperglobalism”.

In a similar essay called “The Collapse of Globalism. And the rebirth of nationalism” Saul pointed out on trends, behaviors and signs of globalization not working well, and at least not working as globalists were presenting it.[2] According to Saul, keynesianist economic polices did not worked well as during the 1970’s  which led to acceptance for new ideas as by Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek who argued that government regulation was the problem and  that the free market was the solution. Both Hayek and Friedman became as symbols in what was to be called neo-liberalism and neo-liberal capitalism.[3] Among Saul’s main criticism was that presenting globalization as inevitable was a sign of arguments in favor of globalization actually being week. As he explained that: “once you believe that the market is inevitable you start believing that the lower the taxes the bigger the growth, and the happier people will be. Well, there’s absolutely no historic proof for that at all”.[4]

Such developments were truth in some parts of the world as Europe and North America, but not for others as Africa, Asia and South America. It is harder to measure happiness of humans, especially from older historical periods as from 19th century. History has examples of lower taxes and higher growth as during 19th century parts of Europe as United Kingdom, Sweden during 1950’s and 60’s and also sub-national entities as Texas. Also, when it comes to inequality there are still challenges with measurement, very much depending on national bias in statistics but also on human bias regarding one’s emotions and perceptions of economy. As in the review of Saul’s book, economist Bibek Debroy wrote that:

What is the impact of globalisation on disparities? The answer depends on the yardstick used and there is a difference between poverty, an absolute concept, and inequality, a relative one. Saul doesn't appreciate the difference No economist has said globalism is sufficient, though it is necessary”. [5]

According to Saul, globalization was dead because “grand economic theories rarely last more than few decades” and due its “technocratic and technological determinism”. In his views, globalization’s promotion, such as symbolism of “inevitable” and “end of history” became as a religion as Christianity. And the dichotomy globalism-nationalism was already manifested with WTO being established during the same period as the war in former Yugoslavia was ending and that globalization peaked in 1995.[6] However, as it will be shown, the case of globalization, as well as globalism being dead is simply not the case.



[1] Saul, Ralston John. “The Collapse of Globalism. And the Reinvention of the World”. (2005, Abrams Books, New York). 
[2] John Ralston Saul. The Collapse of Globalism. And the Rebirth of Nationalism. Publciation date: Unknown. Downloaded: 2019-06-19. Website: http://www.urbanlab.org/articles/misc/Saul%202010%20-%20collapse%20of%20globalism.pdf
[3] Mother Jones. The Collapse of Globalism. Publication date: 2005-11-09. Downloaded: 2019-06-19.  Website: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2005/11/collapse-globalism/ .
[4] Ibid
[5] India Today. Book review: John Ralston Saul’s “Collapse of Globalism And Reinvention of World”. Publication date: 2005-11-14. Downloaded: 2019-06-19. Website: https://www.indiatoday.in/magazine/society-the-arts/books/story/20051114-book-review-collapse-of-globalism-and-reinvention-of-world-by-john-saul-786561-2005-11-14  
[6] John Ralston Saul. The Collapse of Globalism. And the Rebirth of Nationalism. Publciation date: Unknown. Downloaded: 2019-06-19. Website: http://www.urbanlab.org/articles/misc/Saul%202010%20-%20collapse%20of%20globalism.pdf